The Negative Inflation-Growth Effect: Theory and Evidence

M Gillman, N M Harris, László Mátyás

    Research output: Working paper/PreprintWorking paper

    Abstract (may include machine translation)

    The paper presents a monetary model of endogenous growth and specifies an econometric
    model consistent with it. The economic model suggests a negative inflation-growth effect,
    and one that is stronger at lower levels of inflation. Empirical evaluation of the model is
    based on a large panel of OECD and APEC member countries over the years 1961-1997.
    The hypothesized negative inflation effect is found comprehensively for the OECD countries
    to be significant and, as in the theory, to increase marginally as the inflation rate falls. For
    APEC countries, the results from using instrumental variables also show significant evidence
    of a similar behavior.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationMelbourne
    PublisherUniversity of Melbourne
    StatePublished - 2001

    Publication series

    NameMelbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research

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