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On Taking a Skewed Risk More than Once

  • Sebastian Ebert*
  • , Mats Köster
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Heidelberg University 

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract (may include machine translation)

Penny-picking refers to the often-observed phenomenon of repeatedly taking negatively skewed risks and seems directly at odds with evidence on (positive-)skewness-seeking as observed in static settings. We show that penny-picking may not only occur despite skewness-seeking, but—seemingly paradoxically—because of skewness-seeking. With sufficient time available, risks with arbitrary negative skewness can be gambled in such a way that, overall, skewness is positive. Therefore, classical behavioral theories like prospect theory straightforwardly explain penny-picking. More generally, we show that the versatile dynamics of skewness reconcile apparent preference reversals concerning the avoidance and acceptance of (skewed and non-skewed) risks.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)395-425
JournalAmerican Economic Journal: Microeconomics
Volume18
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2026

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