Aggregation and the long run behaviour of economic time series.

Gábor Kőrösi, László Lovrics, László Mátyás

    Research output: Working paper/PreprintWorking paper

    Abstract (may include machine translation)

    The aggregation problem is a well—known difficulty in macroeconometric modelling. It is frequently assumed in these models that the behaviour of economic agents is uniform. Thus the behaviour of a single agent characterizes the aggregate behaviour of the agents (representative agent). However, there may always be some "outliers", some uncharacteristically behaving agents. Such outliers may well determine the time dynamics of the aggregate time series. The paper presents different Monte Carlo experiments to demonstrate this feature. This phenomenon may have an utmost significance in models assuming the cointegration of the variables.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationMelbourne
    PublisherMonash University
    StatePublished - 1993

    Publication series

    NameWorking Paper; 12/93

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